Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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